From left to right: (1) Fit of model to recorded cumulative confirmed data, from 15 March to 29 March 2020. New data points (from 30 March to 4 April 2020) are embedded to show model precision. (2-4) In other panels, projected population size of each subpopulation, in logarithmic scale, are derived by solving the model equations numerically to show different testing scenarios. Note that the untested infectious population is the sum of asymptomatic infectious and unreported symptomatic infectious populations. SOURCE: Mata et al. (2020b)

From left to right: (1) Fit of model to recorded cumulative confirmed data, from 15 March to 29 March 2020. New data points (from 30 March to 4 April 2020) are embedded to show model precision. (2-4) In other panels, projected population size of each subpopulation, in logarithmic scale, are derived by solving the model equations numerically to show different testing scenarios. Note that the untested infectious population is the sum of asymptomatic infectious and unreported symptomatic infectious populations. SOURCE: Mata et al. (2020b)