Figure 9. Forecasted number of Covid-19 cases in NCR. The first forecast uses the reported number of cases in NCR and assumes the current value of Ro is maintained at 0.96. The second forecast assumes that half of the 1,855 uncategorized cases in the Philippines are in NCR, and assumes that the current value of Ro (with half the uncategorized cases) is maintained at 1.2. The first projection leads to 16,500 cases and 1,070 deaths in NCR by June 30. The second projection shows 20,500 cases and 1,200 deaths by June 30.

Figure 9. Forecasted number of Covid-19 cases in NCR. The first forecast uses the reported number of cases in NCR and assumes the current value of Ro is maintained at 0.96. The second forecast assumes that half of the 1,855 uncategorized cases in the Philippines are in NCR, and assumes that the current value of Ro (with half the uncategorized cases) is maintained at 1.2. The first projection leads to 16,500 cases and 1,070 deaths in NCR by June 30. The second projection shows 20,500 cases and 1,200 deaths by June 30.