Figure 11. Forecasts for NCR until June 15 using current trends in the reproduction number R with no improvements (ECQ), continued ECQ but with a value of R that is decreasing by 1% per day (Improving), and some form of a modified ECQ. With an improving ECQ, the projection is 12,000 total Covid-19 cases by June 15 with 800 deaths in NCR. With a modified ECQ, the projection is 24,000 cases by June 15 with 1,700 deaths.

Figure 11. Forecasts for NCR until June 15 using current trends in the reproduction number R with no improvements (ECQ), continued ECQ but with a value of R that is decreasing by 1% per day (Improving), and some form of a modified ECQ. With an improving ECQ, the projection is 12,000 total Covid-19 cases by June 15 with 800 deaths in NCR. With a modified ECQ, the projection is 24,000 cases by June 15 with 1,700 deaths.